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UFC on ESPN+ 36: Covington vs. Woodley Bets

Shawn Craymen

After a tumultuous few weeks in the UFC that saw fighters dropping out and infected with the Coronavirus we have a solid card with some name fighters on ESPN. With a solid headliner let’s get to it.

1.Mackenzie Dern vs Hannah Cifers

Dern’s MMA career has been interesting. A BJJ standout with questionable dedication to the sport (she’s missed weight 3 times in 9 fights) Alternating between looking dangerous and underwhelming, Dern looked like the female Demian Maia in her last fight and had the best performance of her career. Markos is tough but Dern’s eventually going to get this to the ground and finish it.

Dern (-165)

2.Johnny Walker vs Ryan Spann

Johnny Walker went from looking like the one to dethrone Jon Jones to looking like mincemeat against the elite at 205 pounds. One could say he just hasn’t been the same since the shoulder injury he had doing the worm celebration after doing this.

Johnny has fallen on some hard time dropping his last two fights and unfortunately I see the trend continuing. I feel betting odds are close here because of the terrible fight Spann had against Sam Alvey but no fighter has ever looked good against Alvey. Spann’s piston-like straight right hand will find Walker’s chin and his grappling is far too much for Johnny to stop. I love Johnny Walker but this is an easy win for Spann.

Spann (+105)

3. Donald Cerrone vs Niko Price

Oh brother, the UFC is doing Donald Cerrone no factors with matchmaking. He’s an absolute legend in the game but he’s clearly well past it. Another day, another fighter that has the right gameplan and skillset to beat Cerrone. Big, hits hard, high pressure fighter. -155 is generous, bet on Price and have a nice peace of mind.

Price (-155)

4. Colby Covington vs Tyron Woodley

Here we have a grudge match that’s about 2 years too late. Covington and Woodley were calling each other out for years and clearly wanted to fight each other but Colby couldn’t get negotiations done and since then Woodley lost his belt and lost 10 consecutive rounds. Colby’s proven to be durable, an elite grappler, and truly the most well conditioned fighter in the UFC. Tyron’s one path to victory is landing his big right hand early in the fight but as we’ve seen his whole career when someone puts the pressure on him he wilts. Expect Colby to outgrapple Tyron for a sleep-inducing 5 rounds.

Covington (-345)
Entire Parlay: (+599)